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Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis. 

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Special thanks to Skillshare for sponsoring this episode!
The first 1000 Theorists get a FREE trial of Skillshare Premium ► skl.sh/thegametheorists01211
There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of CSshows centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
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#Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
More THEORIES:
FNAF, The FINAL Timeline ►► bit.ly/2MlHYFe
FNAF, The Monster We MISSED! ►► csshows.info/up/video/j9-gr2uthXXDrZw.html
FNAF This Theory Changes Everything ► bit.ly/2JUQUn6
FNAF, You Were Meant To Lose ► csshows.info/up/video/Z8inmZuycp2SxWU.html
FNAF 6, No More Secrets ► bit.ly/2LVCq4u
Credits:
Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
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Sound Editor: Yosi Berman

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17. 01. 2021

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Komentáře 100   
Gaetan Siffert
Gaetan Siffert Před 2 hodinami
2:11 oh god no not latex
Alexander Wiseman
Alexander Wiseman Před 2 hodinami
This was decidedly a YES to anyone who really understood the data, but a "...maybe no??" to Dream stans. I understand, PatPat, but if you ain't finna answer the question yourself, you shouldn't finna ask the question in your title. Title it something like "An in depth analysis on the Dream situation" or something.
Viktor Milojevic
Viktor Milojevic Před 6 hodinami
If he is better than you in minecraft it doesn't mean you should make fake videos about him
Arianna Oros
Arianna Oros Před 9 hodinami
Little did future Matpat know was that the argument continued more on the down low
Mel Marmoria
Mel Marmoria Před 11 hodinami
this video is so infuriating to watch for so many reasons - too many unnecessary tangents - no real conclusion/answer to the actual title question, hence just pure clickbait - flexing that you share some business with LE DREAM, i guess he is somebody to gloat about - this was basically the longest loudest loading screen for an (skillshare) ad - claiming this video is supposed to be educating about the maths, in the end only explaining the theory of it in a very weird and hard to understand way - the finishing verdict. "minecraft 1.16+ shouldnt be getting speedruns anymore cause too high dependence on luck :c"
SleekJupiter
SleekJupiter Před 12 hodinami
This is last year's drama mat
noname
noname Před 12 hodinami
60 is harder than 7 :)
Honshu :]
Honshu :] Před 14 hodinami
I think we all forget what kind of channel Matpat has, he is a Theorist. Yes, he is a good theorist but everybody isn’t always right. Maybe he did cheat, maybe he did not. Your all in the comments talking about how he dodged the question but really he’s literally just doing what he normally does. Yet you don’t say this when he makes different themes such as FNAF and other DDLC? Yet nobody from these games have stood up to things such as this? Why say all of this now because it’s a CSshowsr and not a game of which you can’t say to somebody’s face? Yes, it is basically click bait but what isn’t? My god people it’s 2021, click bait is everywhere right under your noses! Not even just on youtube and even I think you know that. Go ahead, comment down how wrong I am but you can’t deny that this is suspicious and seems acted. Yeah, he might be right but he isn’t a mind reader, the only person who knows whether they cheated or not is Dream. I wonder why it’s always the CSshowsr’s fault and not the game/game developers? 1.16 just came out when this event took place so their is bound to be bugs. But that still doesn’t mean Dream is off the hook and neither is MatPat. But remember, at the end of the day it’s just a theory everybody. :) (Please debate about this in the comments, I wanna see all of opinions on this :D)
Oda Siam
Oda Siam Před 15 hodinami
This channel helped me learn more than my class lol
Zack Pumpkinhead
Zack Pumpkinhead Před 15 hodinami
8:36 THEY"RE BOTH THE SAME! HA! Sorry so many comments. I'll do less next time
Zack Pumpkinhead
Zack Pumpkinhead Před 16 hodinami
1:46 Warzone... huh? Have you heard of... 2b2t?
Matthew Hogan
Matthew Hogan Před 16 hodinami
No
Livie Noelle
Livie Noelle Před 17 hodinami
conclusion: the speedrunning team is jealous
Hayden Y
Hayden Y Před 16 hodinami
Lol
kat h
kat h Před 17 hodinami
Pls he would be such a cool and good teacher
Hayden Y
Hayden Y Před 16 hodinami
Yea
Glad Bros Entertainment
Glad Bros Entertainment Před 18 hodinami
7 times
Dr. Rocker
Dr. Rocker Před 18 hodinami
Matpat is such a wuss the only reason he won’t say he is cheating is because he is scared to lose his kid subscribers but don’t you see Matpat your subscribers have now grown up dot. Be afraid to say he cheated
Rainbow Pummmkins
Rainbow Pummmkins Před 18 hodinami
Mat pls tell me pls!
James7
James7 Před 20 hodinami
I can smell the dream stan dislike this video.
RaisinTree
RaisinTree Před 21 hodinou
hope you all have a nice week, wanted to let you know that Jesus loves you and died for you. you might think of this as annoying and you’ve seen it a lot, but it’s more than that. those who share this are happy with Christ and believe in eternal life and happiness. they want you to be a part of that too, and so do i. you can have your own opinion and i respect it and you can ignore this and that’s fine. stay safe. i believe in you. in whatever you want to do. God has not left you, and never will. again, Jesus Christ loves you so much. He is willing to heal you and anyone else no matter what they’ve done. He has died for us and proved that He is the Christ, Savior, and Protector. God heals us, even though we are wicked. think about that. may we not be ashamed to share His word, for He was not ashamed of us.
Brandon Morehouse
Brandon Morehouse Před 19 hodinami
I would like to say the youtube comments are not the beat place for this kind of a statement
Dragon Fire
Dragon Fire Před 21 hodinou
Ppl are knocking matpat for not really answering, but he did give a more complex view of both arguments, and I don’t think that’s nothing.
a channel
a channel Před 22 hodinami
my view I don't think he cheated he clearly got a higher drop rate then normal but odds are just odds. The drop rate for endermen dropping ender pearls is around 50% of course that doesn't mean you're going to consistently drop 5 ender pearls for every 10 endermen its possible to kill 1000 endermen and them drop no enderpearl just its very very unlikely I dont know the probability percentage i imagine its extremely low but still not impossible.
bestofyosuke
bestofyosuke Před dnem
When he started talking about the luck of the item drops, I just thought "so no one here has played a gacha game then" because the luck I've seen some people have by accident is ridiculous, versus some people who whale on them and don't get nearly as lucky (hence the whaling)
JamFoxxy
JamFoxxy Před dnem
Mans pulled a Ranboo and didn't choose sides
FreesmartBros2007
2:21 relatable ;-;
AncientAmber YT
AncientAmber YT Před dnem
Ah yes, clickbait
Brandon Morehouse
Brandon Morehouse Před 19 hodinami
Well yes but actually no
K'Sean Richardson
I thought condoms when u said latex, but i noticed the quadratic formula short after 😂. What am i?
DONT wamt
DONT wamt Před dnem
So everyone's hating matpat here because he doesnt know something? Makes sense
Out by the Water in Cape May
So... He did? Because any Dream stans that disagree better bend over.
•peachs bunzs ôwø•
help me with me math pls
ENO
ENO Před dnem
İmagine dream commenting
Ariel Flores
Ariel Flores Před dnem
I think 100 times
Zain Huda
Zain Huda Před dnem
The real problem is that profesional mathmeticians and scientists can spend hours of time just to debunk a minecraft speedrun... Do they really not have anything better to do with their life??
Dream the animator
:0
chrichu
chrichu Před dnem
Some people took this video the wrong way bc there are quite a lot of dislikes
DYLAN SALINAS
DYLAN SALINAS Před dnem
Its funny bc they're talking about high luck but there was a game my dad played and literally got a 0.01% chance weapon 5 time in a row (DFFOO)
Jamie Brophy
Jamie Brophy Před dnem
Awsome
raystrashcan
raystrashcan Před dnem
Sir, I seem to be missing an answer in this video
Juliet Torres
Juliet Torres Před dnem
Coin ten times
lars thememelord
lars thememelord Před dnem
for anyone who’s angry about lack of an answer it says FINAL ANALYISIS NOT FINAL ANSWER
Vanja Nenadović
Vanja Nenadović Před dnem
Yeah, you can say that it's 69.2 percent, but if people didn't watch other people's videos, that is 8.8 x 10 to the power of MINUS 12. That is(near) one in a 8800000000000 chance of getting JUST the blaze rods. Including ender pearls, which are (again near) one in 5600000000000 chance, then yeah. And both of them together, are (near) 1 in 2000000000000000000000 chance of getting them.
עדי קרימר
עדי קרימר Před 2 dny
I don’t trust Dream He’s cheating I hate him!
Brandon Morehouse
Brandon Morehouse Před 19 hodinami
I don’t think you should hate him.
MegaMathew75
MegaMathew75 Před 2 dny
69%
ailey
ailey Před 2 dny
I wish matpat was my math teacher
Djd250
Djd250 Před 2 dny
is p hacking hacking wile ur peeing?
W Aliff Naufal W M Syuhaidi
Ohh well did you know in one of dreams speedrun when he placed the boats in mid air actually there were barriers and there were barriers in the other speedrun when he placed boats in the lava there were barriers because how can he place things in mid air I tried it to and do all his hacks and a failure so he’s fake speedrunning
Brandon Morehouse
Brandon Morehouse Před 19 hodinami
That makes no sense, and i agree with your final statement. Your explanation just doesn’t work
OLLIE JOSHUA ALFORO
did dream fake it? heres the time 23:29
Anicka Amaefule
Anicka Amaefule Před 2 dny
Wait, did dream cheat or not?
Anicka Amaefule
Anicka Amaefule Před 2 dny
I guess the 100 thingy option because if you take away the one zero each from sixty and hundred you can see that that's right. Yes I'm THIS bad at explaining I watched the video and I think I were wrong. I didn't really understand sooo. Have a great life
Levi Crosby
Levi Crosby Před 2 dny
I have no idea what Matpat says every video I watch but that has yet to stop me from watching them
Benny Windipo
Benny Windipo Před 2 dny
Matpat has really gone downhill.....
Meba
Meba Před 2 dny
Man this is hella annoying. Just say he's wrong or shill for him goddamit
The lord
The lord Před 2 dny
Anybody else noticed mr.beast😂
Eldudio 14
Eldudio 14 Před 2 dny
You can tell mat came to the conclusion he cheated but didn’t wanna say it cuz of the stans
• Møno •
• Møno • Před 2 dny
The answer is... Nothing hahahaha
Sarcasm
Sarcasm Před 2 dny
This is over a bunch of Minecraft pixels, a video game...
Bottom Text
Bottom Text Před 2 dny
Yes because things that happen on the internet have no effect on the real world
Matt Sweeney
Matt Sweeney Před 2 dny
Twitch Rivals did competitive minecraft bingo. it was great.
alex manley
alex manley Před 2 dny
60 out of 100
The Oshawott King
The Oshawott King Před 2 dny
I dont hate Dream and i do find some of his vids fun to watch, but i did knew that it wasnt a smart decision to fight against the Minecraft speedrun mod team. There have been alot of cheating investigations in the past with other games and the people who expose speedrunners for cheating take their job seriously, they are like detectives trying to figure out a murder investigation or a mystery. Doing things like using Audacity for checking things in the sounds of the recording, recreating speedruns with slow speed, checking every fricking pixel in the screen with Photoshop etc.
Peri Uluirmak
Peri Uluirmak Před 2 dny
8:37 i think the first one , the one with flipping a coin ten times and getting heads 7 times 9:00 yaaaay
Jordon Lott
Jordon Lott Před 2 dny
Why are there so many dislikes
Muhammad Soleh
Muhammad Soleh Před 2 dny
and probably because he has no conclusion
Commander_Chop_Stix YT
Probably all the dream stans
itzmattaf777
itzmattaf777 Před 2 dny
100
GTG Glenn
GTG Glenn Před 3 dny
0:12 wait mat are you there when mr beast is giving away like 25 ps5's
Epic Ocean
Epic Ocean Před 3 dny
I think dream doesn’t fake his speedruns i think dream is super lucky
StrikeYT
StrikeYT Před dnem
@Gameslug and when did I say dream didn't cheat?
StrikeYT
StrikeYT Před dnem
@Gameslug gosh I didn't expect a slug will be so mean
Muhammad Soleh
Muhammad Soleh Před 2 dny
he cheated. No more opinions, only facts
Gameslug
Gameslug Před 2 dny
Both of you idiots dream cheated. The data shows that he did.
StrikeYT
StrikeYT Před 3 dny
This vid was uploaded 1 month ago and dream proves That he didn't cheat
Big Sheesh
Big Sheesh Před 3 dny
I love how people dislike the video without watching it 🤣
Shubham Saini
Shubham Saini Před 3 dny
Mr beast buy the store again
ohno
ohno Před 3 dny
Those of y'all in the comments making fun of the fact how MatPat asked the question, but didn't exactly answer it, please reread the title. "A Final Analysis." Definition of Analysis- (n.) detailed examination of the elements or structure of something. Meaning an explanation or investigation, but not exactly the final answer. So basically you set yourself up by clicking the damn video.
StrikeYT
StrikeYT Před 3 dny
Your really smart for a mouse
Mollie Star Forever
16:50 EXOTIC BUTTERS
_K I L L E R • Q U E E N_
Eggsodic buhddersz
Yagsterr
Yagsterr Před 3 dny
He did. End of story.
Gameslug
Gameslug Před 2 dny
Exactly
Lewys Cousins
Lewys Cousins Před 3 dny
On any other channel I wouldn't point this out, but since its Game Theory and I know we like details around here, the exterior of that Tardis from 2:29 is from the 11/12th Doctor's tenure however the interior is from the 9/10th Doctor's run. Just saying!
s1lvDrag0n
s1lvDrag0n Před 3 dny
I couldn’t care less if he cheated or not, no matter how you look at it, Dream is still one the best Minecraft players to exist.
StrikeYT
StrikeYT Před dnem
And just because He is good at PvP doesn't mean that his the best player in the world dream stan
Bottom Text
Bottom Text Před 2 dny
This is about integrity. Also dream is average, notice how he never fights any actual pvpers? I could fight a below average player and look like a PvP god too.
Gameslug
Gameslug Před 2 dny
He is not the best Minecraft player. He is good at 1.16 pvp but not the best. He also has average building and redstone skills. Also he is nowhere near the top of 1.8 pvp
Leonard
Leonard Před 2 dny
Yes, so good he has to cheat.
StrikeYT
StrikeYT Před 3 dny
Technoblade: are you sure about that?
Kason Lair
Kason Lair Před 3 dny
100 times and getting 60 heads
Kayla Powers
Kayla Powers Před 3 dny
I'm pretty sure the answer was 1) You CAN'T have an answer especially given the fact both sides can't have conclusive evidence to prove Dream did or didn't cheat and that the experiment itself wasn't infallible so what MatPat had to work with was skewed one way or another. 2) Generally? Why are we speedrunning Minecraft??? Especially now that nether fortresses have become rarer since the recent nether update and that your ability to be fastest are decided by some factors are now up to luck and not skill. That's what I got from the video anyway.
Bottom Text
Bottom Text Před 2 dny
Imagine being so lucky you could have won the lottery multiple times a day for your entire life but you waste all that luck on Minecraft.
Conner McKinnon
Conner McKinnon Před 3 dny
As an Econometrics Major, I can confirm that this video is a great intro into how statistics can be applied to the real world, and I appreciate it being made
Conner McKinnon
Conner McKinnon Před 3 dny
Sampling Bias, Law of Large Iterations, getting closer to the mean as you increase sample size, these are all fundamental truths to statistics, and you must take these things into consideration or you could end up falsely accusing someone. These numbers show that Dream 99.9999999% cheated - there is no 100%.
Xavier Elwood
Xavier Elwood Před 3 dny
is everyone going to ignor mr beast in the intro
n reddick
n reddick Před 3 dny
i mad
StrikeYT
StrikeYT Před 3 dny
Why?
Akaash Raghunath
Akaash Raghunath Před 3 dny
11:27 What? W H A T ?
Scxrd Vize
Scxrd Vize Před 3 dny
3 year olds: oh i dont see a red one cause i already pressed it let me press it again Matpat: NOOOOOO
Beetless
Beetless Před 3 dny
17:51 why no target block :(
Cora at Home
Cora at Home Před 3 dny
spoiler: he... F*ck it. ya gotta watch the video.
Kyle K
Kyle K Před 3 dny
I think that the olympics are scripted as I can’t run as fast as them or jump as high as them
Bottom Text
Bottom Text Před 2 dny
What are you trying to say?
Tommy Mc
Tommy Mc Před 3 dny
So was it fake or not
StrikeYT
StrikeYT Před dnem
@GameslugUmmm Fine Then dream cheated and he just don't want to admit it
Bottom Text
Bottom Text Před 2 dny
@StrikeYT What do you mean you "like techo more"? You can obviously tell from that statement alone that you're a child. It's like thinking Xbox is better than PS4 or vice versa, they are 2 different things and only children compare them and fight over which is better.
Gameslug
Gameslug Před 2 dny
@StrikeYT you are 100% a dream stan, you are just too embarrassed to admit it. He did cheat.
StrikeYT
StrikeYT Před 3 dny
Dream didn't fake it I'm not a dream Stan like at all I personally like techno But Dream didn't fake the speedrun it's just the mods are just dumb
Wheatley
Wheatley Před 3 dny
Yes it was
jbone
jbone Před 3 dny
i learned more from this video than a whole year in ap stats
Sidney Wateski
Sidney Wateski Před 3 dny
16:40 no joke the day this video came out I had a guest lecturer come into my college class-- hes the guy who helped make this site....thats really coincidental
Huynh Hong Nhat
Huynh Hong Nhat Před 3 dny
The aback den spontaneously travel because tortellini sicily wonder minus a friendly dragon. furry furtive, available myanmar
StrikeYT
StrikeYT Před 3 dny
Nice Spelling bro
Dan David
Dan David Před 3 dny
this video is more like my maths class .
Sandeep Banik
Sandeep Banik Před 3 dny
I know MatPat uses a lot of mathematical methods to back up his theories, but what was the intro (0:00 - 0:52)? Yes, you use mathematical methods to prove your theories but why are you demeaning some other profession. It came out very salty on your part. If you're trying to show that you're smarter than a professor then you have to reconsider your position. Professors are smart and that's why they are at universities. Your videos are becoming more and more pompous. I guess that's the difference between your videos and someone like Veritasium. And for claiming so much about reading 20+ page paper you might want to get your notation and numbers right. The probability of 7 heads out of 10 coin flips = 11.72 % and not 17%. The probability of 60 heads out of 100 coin flips = 1.08 % and not 2.82%. Reference - Leon-Garcia, Alberto. "Probability, statistics, and random processes for electrical engineering." (2017). Chapter 2. You might want to run your other numbers again (for the rest of your video).
CROW TB
CROW TB Před 3 dny
if you see mrbeast in the video its so werid please if you want to find him you will see him in the start with all stuff
Bottom Text
Bottom Text Před 2 dny
He's a big CSshowsr of course he's used as a prop. It's not like Mr.Beast is some tiny CSshowsr with a few hundred subscribers
Zaara Ev
Zaara Ev Před 3 dny
So imitating politicians As one Argentine president once said , "I give a NO positive"
Untitled Creator
Untitled Creator Před 3 dny
Dream: *sees that people make these videos* Also Dream: *go’s out of his way to prove that they’re wrong*
StrikeYT
StrikeYT Před 3 dny
Ummm matpat didn't said it was fake or real
Untitled Creator
Untitled Creator Před 3 dny
@Wheatley but he di- ok then, whatever. I don’t care.
Wheatley
Wheatley Před 3 dny
He faked it tho
Ridhishree Chowdhury
Um I thought you did a collab with dream?
StrikeYT
StrikeYT Před 3 dny
Ummmm so?
MoreYourPops
MoreYourPops Před 3 dny
Is no one else paying attention that MatPat made a Juice WRLD joke lmao
Markat
Markat Před 3 dny
i was skipping most of the video and now he's talking about smash wtf?
OK KO Portland
OK KO Portland Před 3 dny
HE DIDNT CHEAT
Gameslug
Gameslug Před 2 dny
HE DID IDIOT
StrikeYT
StrikeYT Před 3 dny
Ok dream stan
Chillogamerhat
Chillogamerhat Před 3 dny
HE DID DIE STAN
NightSaniK
NightSaniK Před 3 dny
Dream stan
Beetless
Beetless Před 4 dny
5:07 No one says it like that
August needs to get a life
All these people hating in the commnets because they only know how to hate Dream and never even watched GameTheory
Bottom Text
Bottom Text Před 2 dny
But he did cheat
Ethan Coleman
Ethan Coleman Před 4 dny
Ahh yes edicuetion
Danny Delaney
Danny Delaney Před 4 dny
The first one
StrikeYT
StrikeYT Před dnem
@Bottom Text bro I got a new account are you that dumb?
Bottom Text
Bottom Text Před 2 dny
@StrikeYT why tf is there a child with a day old account commenting on here
StrikeYT
StrikeYT Před 3 dny
Yeah still a month late but still first
XxAnimeBoyxX
XxAnimeBoyxX Před 4 dny
I was hoping Mat to say yes/no then the evidence.... I mean Mat can judge it because we all know it's just a game theory it's not really a true video (I mean ain't this a video all about?)
Cupcake Kitten
Cupcake Kitten Před 4 dny
I usually don’t watch your videos anymore cause of the HOLLOW KNIGHT one... but imma watch this
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